Tag Archives: New York Times

American Dream Elusive for Young Workers Before Recession

8 Jul

Yesterday the New York Times ran a front page article, A New Generation, an Elusive American Dream, on how the recession has made the American Dream unattainable for many young folks.  It’s a must-read article, however, it missed the long-term trends that have been exacerbated by the recession: youth unemployment and decline in quality of jobs.

Taking the story of Scott Nicholson, a Colgate University graduate, who is living off his parents while he optimistically searches for a job, the Times’ story generalizes:

Starved for jobs at adequate pay, the millennials tend to seek refuge in college and in the military and to put off marriage and child-bearing.  Those who are working often stay with the jobs they have rather than jump to better paying but less secure ones, as young people seeking advancement normally do.  And they are increasingly willing to forgo raises, or to settle for small ones.

All true, but these trends were already occurring in response to a difficult labor market for young workers.  Businesses have been retaining older workers and not hiring young workers since the recession of 2001.  According to a working paper, Out With the Young and In With the Old: U.S. Labor Markets 2000-2008 and the Case for An Immediate Jobs Creation Program for Teens and Young Adults, by the Center for Labor Market Studies at Northeastern University, from 2000 to 2008, the employment rates of each age group below 35 declined sharply with the most significant decline in teenage employment.  Over the same time, older workers employment rate increased 4.6 points for 55-64 year olds and 4 points for 65+.

But its not just employment figures that matter, its also the quality of the jobs.  Pay and employer-provided benefits for young workers has stagnated.  Wages for 18 to 29 year olds was 10 percent lower in 2007 than in 1979.  According to a report by the Center for Economic and Policy Research, Unions and Upward Mobility for Young Workers, the decline in union density has had a significant effect in diminishing the quality of jobs available to young workers.  Unions boost wages for young workers by $1.75/hour on average and significantly increase the prospects of health insurance coverage (by 17%) and retirement security (by 24%).

However, the trend has been away from unions – not towards them.  Meaning there has been a real decline in the quality of jobs young workers have available to them.

Scott Nicholson has the bad luck to graduate into a recession, yes, but the opportunities available to his grandfather (a retired stockbroker) and his father (a tool manufacturer) might never have been available to him at least not in the ways this relatives fell into them.  Young workers have been hardest hit by this recession (as they have been in every post-WWII recession), but its these long-term structural problems that need to be addressed.  The standard, slow job growth won’t dig young workers out.

Millennial Corps of Workers

4 Jun

Calling for greater participation by young people in setting the tone of the debate of American politics, Timothy Egan in his column in today’s New York Times stumbled upon a great idea: expand the existing national service programs (AmeriCorps, Teach for America) to clean up the gulf.

Obama could rouse this generation to help save the oil-choked gulf, much the way Franklin Roosevelt did with his youthful Civilian Conservation Corps.  While still holding BP accountable, the president could set up a millennial corps of workers, calling on their sense of service, their desire for change, their youthful belief in restoration.

Young voters put President Obama in the White House, both by working on his campaign and by overwhelmingly supporting him at the polls.  And they still support him.  But since the election, they have not been reached out to.  They community teams that the Obama for America campaign created never turned into strong civic engagement groups.  Young workers still want to give back, still believe in government, they just haven’t been asked to help out.  Creating a new national service program to clean up the oil spill and work on other environmental programs would, first of all, employ thousands of young workers.  It would also expose those workers to the skills they need for the future economy – engineering and technological skills in many cases, health care and veterinary care in some other cases.  Additionally, it could and should be paid for by BP – they wrecked the place, they should have to pay to put it back together.  And as no small side benefit, it will help the environment.

This is a win all the way around.  How much you want to bet it doesn’t happen?

NYT Editorial: Jobs and the Class of 2010

23 May
lead editorial in today’s New York Times:
May 21, 2010

Jobs and the Class of 2010

Commencement is supposed to be filled with hope, but for the class of 2010, these are grim times. Over the past year, the unemployment rate for college graduates under age 25 has averaged 9.1 percent. For the roughly half of high school graduates under 25 and not in college, the average is 22.8 percent.

Worse, a deep labor recession, like this one, may be more than a temporary hardship. It could signal a long-term decline in living standards — downward mobility.

Where you start out in your career has a big impact on where you end up. When jobs are scarce, more college grads start out in lower-level jobs with lower starting salaries. Academic research suggests that for many of these graduates, that correlates to overall lower levels of career attainment and lower lifetime earnings.

Tough times for college grads mean even tougher times for high school graduates, because fewer jobs mean more competition from college-educated workers. In the past year, 59.5 percent of young high school grads on average had a job, compared with 70.2 percent in 2007.

The pat answer is that college students should consider graduate school as a way to delay a job search until things turn around, and that more high school students should go to college to improve their prospects.

For many undergraduates, especially those with large student debts, graduate school would be prohibitively expensive. And while more than half of this year’s high school grads are expected to be enrolled in college in the fall, most will have to work to help pay the bills. For them, college is not a retreat from a bad job market; a bad market is an obstacle to a college degree.

Washington has not been helping enough. The 2009 stimulus package — thanks to President Obama, Congressional Democrats and a few Republican senators — has supported some 2.5 million jobs, helping to avert a much deeper recession. The economy is still missing more than 10 million jobs, and unless more is done to spur employment, the impact on many new graduates and other workers will be harsh.

In his budget this year, Mr. Obama called for $266 billion in spending for jobs and stimulus. So far, Congress has passed only a $15 billion tax credit for hiring in 2010 and a few short-term extensions of unemployment benefits. On Thursday, Democratic Congressional leaders called for $80 billion to extend federal benefits and subsidies for the unemployed through 2010 and to provide more aid to states. More emergency spending is crucial to support consumer demand and, by extension, hiring. The Democratic proposal also calls for relatively modest sums for summer youth jobs, small-business lending and state infrastructure bonds.

The measures should be passed quickly. But recent debates suggests that the Republicans — in their role as nouveau deficit hawks — are likely to oppose more job-related spending unless it is paid for. The deficit needs to be addressed when the economy recovers. Right now, tax increases or spending cuts would only reduce economic activity, weakening the boost the measures are supposed to provide.

The White House and Democratic lawmakers need to make that case forcefully. Lawmakers owe it to their constituents — and explaining the need for more job spending should not be that hard. Far too many Americans know how bad the situation is out there.

In the longer term, Congress will also need to do more to foster jobs and industries of the future, like green technology. Several taxes could be enacted to help finance longer-term efforts, including the bank tax proposed by President Obama. Congress and the administration should also consider a financial transactions tax, both to curb speculation and to raise revenue to rebuild the economy that was damaged, in large part, by the banks’ recklessness.

Without a bigger vision, more money and political courage, the future for those just entering the job market and those already there looks bleak for years to come.

Raise the Wages of Non-College Youth

18 May

Yesterday, Young Workers Movement posted on David Leonhardt’s analysis of the value of college – why students who probably shouldn’t go to college do.  But the answer lies between that and the original argument posed in the New York Times’ Week in Review “Plan B – Skip College“, which argued that college isn’t for everyone.  In fact, the fastest-growing professions require vocational training more than a four-year bachelors degree:

College degrees are simply not necessary for many jobs. Of the 30 jobs projected to grow at the fastest rate over the next decade in the United States, only seven typically require a bachelor’s degree, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Among the top 10 growing job categories, two require college degrees: accounting (a bachelor’s) and postsecondary teachers (a doctorate). But this growth is expected to be dwarfed by the need for registered nurses, home health aides, customer service representatives and store clerks. None of those jobs require a bachelor’s degree.

However, the article falters when it argues that those who drop out of college do so because they are not smart enough or devoted enough to get by.  Many are dropping out because they are feeling the pressure of student loans and feel the need to get into the labor market earlier to begin paying some of that money back.  The student debt burden can be devastating to those who do not make it through, but guidance counselors shouldn’t be telling low-performing students not to go to college because of that.

Instead, high school guidance counselors need to do a better job of advertising the fast-growing careers that require vocational schooling or certificate attainment – as some economists have argued.  To do this we first need to strengthen these programs that have been sucked up into the “for-profit” higher education model (think of all those high-tech vocational training programs advertising on tv.)

But, more fundamentally, we need to make sure that the jobs young people get after completing these programs are good paying jobs.  Returning to David Leonhardt’s argument, you cannot steer young people away from college unless you reduce the earnings gap between those with a college education and those without.  The best way to raise the floor, of course, is through a more robust union movement.

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