Tag Archives: Effects of Recession

Green Shoots for Young Worker Job Prospects in 2011?

4 Jan

From PBS Newshour last night:

Happy New Year? Job Market Looking Up for College Grads?

Editor’s Note: A poor economy does not bode well for college grads trying to enter the job market.

“The last couple of years have been a very, very tough time to be coming out of college,” said Richard White in our second piece on malemployed grads, airing tonight on the NewsHour.

Head of career services at Rutgers, the State University of New Jersey, White said he’d recently seen the number of students with a job at graduation cut in half. Our piece earlier last month profiling four recent grads struggling to find paying jobs — let alone jobs in their fields of study — fits right in with what White is seeing. (That piece and a web profile of the four job hunters sparked some interesting comments and mail. The idea of getting a degree seems to have hit on a sensitive nerve.)

But things might be looking up for 2011 graduates according to “Recruiting Trends,” an annual report put out by Michigan State University (emphasis original):

“Despite the gloomy national labor market situation, the college segment of the market is poised to rebound this year. While overall hiring across all degrees is expected to increase 3%, hiring at the Bachelor’s level is expected to surge by 10%.”

From the Michigan State University study:

Over 1,600 companies indicated that they would consider any major for a position. Representing 36% of all respondents, this figure is at a historic high. For all technical and business majors, approximately one-quarter of the employers will be seeking them (a slight decrease from last year). Sixteen percent of the employers will seek all liberal arts majors, which includes the sciences, social sciences, and humanities, and will actually hire more new graduates than the other groups.

  • All Majors: increase hiring 13%, averaging 38 Bachelor graduates per company.
  • All Technical: increase hiring 19%, averaging 24 Bachelor graduates per company.
  • All Business: increase hiring 18%, averaging 34 Bachelor graduates per company.
  • All Liberal Arts: increase hiring 21%, averaging 40 Bachelor graduates per company.

Read the full report here.

Loyola U Grads Need Jobs

21 Jun

American Public Media’s Marketplace spoke with a few recent graduates from Loyola University Chicago and found, well, dreams deferred as the class of 2010 graduates into the great recession.  Graduates are competing with last year’s graduates and all of the other older, experienced workers who have lost jobs during this downturn.  The effects are not just deferred dreams, but earnings losses and delayed career advancements throughout their working lives.  “A jobless recovery and a lost generation” is certainly worth the listen.  Here’s the transcript:

Tess Vigeland: For college grads, the relief of getting that diploma is now morphing into fear about finding a job. It’s a terrible time for experienced workers, so imagine if you don’t have any.

Marketplace’s Mitchell Hartman came to Chicago to take the pulse of today’s young worker-wannabes.


Graduation presider: Sarah Jayne Bisterfeld, magna cum laude, Jorge Andres Blanco…

Mitchell Hartman: I’m way up in the cheap seats at Loyola University Chicago, watching a few hundred business school graduates get their diplomas. There’s the cheers.

Sound of cheers and applause

The fist-bumps.

Student 1:Thank you. We done did it. We oughta take a picture…

And… The reality check.

Jorge Blanco: My name is Jorge Blanco, I’m 21 years old, coming out with a degree in marketing and sport management. And my initial plan in the job search is to get a job, because I don’t have one right now.

I sat down to talk about jobs with Blanco and eight other seniors, a few days before graduation, at Loyola’s Career Center.

Blanco: I can recall a specific dream I had, where if I made a winning free throw, I would get a job. And I missed the free throw with an airball.

Blanco and the others did just what they were supposed to in their senior year: E-mailed hundreds of resumes, networked furiously on LinkedIn and alumni.

Wanna know what they’ve landed?

Katie Schaff: I have been hired by an architectural boat tour here in Chicago and I will be working as a bartender.

Student 2: Moving back home to Kansas for… not sure.

Student 3: I am stuck in retail indentured servitude at Urban Outfitters.

Brian Rehme: I actually have an internship with a public relations firm in Chicago.

At least advertising major Brian Rehme got an actual position in his field. Of course, it’s temporary, no guarantee the summer internship will turn into a fall job.

Darby Scism: Not only are they competing with all the other amazing universities in the city of Chicago…

Darby Scism heads up Loyola’s Career Center.

Scism: …But they’re competing with people who have been laid off, who have three, five, seven, 10, 15 years of experience. I’ve heard from a few students, “You know, I’m not going to find anything anyway, so why even start looking now?”

Why? Because if history’s any guide, coming right out of the gate into a terrible job market could leave these college grads at the back of the career pack for a long time.

Economist Lisa Kahn at the Yale School of Management.

Lisa Kahn: It’s early in a career when workers should be doing a lot of learning about their job — learning by doing, on-the-job training. Even if an unlucky college graduate could shift into a better job, they’re extremely far behind, because they’ve missed out on a crucial couple of years.

And many of today’s grads may never really catch up, says Kahn, becoming a kind of “lost generation.” Kahn’s been following the people who stumbled out of college into the deep recession of the early 1980s.

Kahn: If you wanted to add up their earnings losses for the first 20 years of their career, they’re earning about $100,000 less.

And career advancement? It isn’t just delayed — it can stall out.

Kahn: Young workers are supposed to move jobs often, because that’s how they get pay increases, that’s often how they get promotions.

But the 1980s recession-newbies stayed put in lower-level positions, or didn’t move around as much.

Kahn: They could be a little gun-shy to leave, because they were sort of scarred by the difficulty of finding a job the first time around. Being placed in a lower-level job in a worse firm, because they took whatever they could, they’re not gaining the right skills to be able to move along to the better jobs.

And don’t think any of this is lost on today’s grads.

Schaff: I remember the first time I heard about those statistics.

That’s Katie Schaff from Loyola. She’s the one with the bartending job on the architecture tour boat.

Schaff: And I was with my parents at the time, and I did the total teenage thing of “you don’t understand, you don’t know what it’s like.” And they were like, “Actually, we graduated from college in the ’70s, we totally understand.”

And since the 70s, says Kahn, there’s one thing stressed out young people have always done to deal with their bad timing.

Kahn: When there’s an economic downturn, everybody wants to go back to school, because the opportunity cost is quite low. If you don’t have a job, you might as well be in school.

To see where this leads, I head to Columbia College Chicago. It’s a prestigious art school downtown. Jeffrey Allen’s 26. He landed a good job after college teaching theater to kids, but one the recession began, he couldn’t find steady work.

Jeffrey Allen: I’m always scrounging around for a job. I don’t really foresee myself getting married, starting a family, “settling down” any time soon, just because I simply can’t afford to.

Allen and some friends are hanging out at Columbia College’s summer street festival. They’re banging out verses on manual typewriter for a poetry slam, hosted by the school’s writing program, which is where Allen has taken temporary refuge from the economy.

Sound of typewriter

Allen: I had a few jobs, then I got laid off, spent five months on unemployment and decided “This is stupid, I’m going back to grad school.”

Hartman: And then you picked poetry.

Allen: Yes, and then I picked poetry.

Allen laughs

And who knows, in this economy, it just might work.

In Chicago, I’m Mitchell Hartman for Marketplace Money.

Summary of Great Ideas from JEC Hearing

4 Jun

I realize I dropped the ball on providing a summary of the great ideas out of the Joint Economic Committee’s hearing on Avoiding a Lost Generation: How to Minimize the Impact of the Great Recession on Young Workers.  Young workers are facing record high unemployment and make up a disproportionate share of the unemployed.  

With statistics like these, we need every good idea we can get.  Arranged by originator:

Dr. Till von Watcher, Columbia University

  • Combine the delivery of unemployment benefits with better job steering and training programs.
  • Help young workers help themselves by giving them the information they need regarding projected future job growth and regionalization of industries – much of this information is already compiled by government agencies, but difficult to access and use.
  • Provide young workers vouchers for training, so its more affordable and possible.
  • Bring employers back into the discussion.
  • Increase the mandatory schooling age past 16, which was set for factory work.  Increasing the age will help them enter the workforce later with more skills.
  • Encourage partnerships between pools of small businesses and community colleges to provide training programs.

Dr. Harry Holzer, Georgetown University

  • Better connecting workforce development programs with education system.
  • Expand summer youth employment programs beyond summer months.
  • Increase the quality and quantity of training and certificate degree programs.
  • Better targeted efforts to employ those that are the most disadvantaged, including expanding public service employment opportunities for these young workers.
  • Tax credits for training and hiring young workers, to make it more affordable.
  • Encouraging students to go to training or certificate programs rather than college does not need to be seen as a bad thing, if those workforce development programs provide a clear pathway to success.
  • Good paying jobs for those with skills, but less formal education, still exist – but our education system does not push students to them.
  • We need to do something about the fact that once you are incarcerated and released, you are essentially unemployable.

David Jones, Community Service Society of NY

  • Tax credits for small businesses for hiring young workers.
  • Federal transportation dollars should be used to hire young workers.
  • Better enforcement of statutes that encourage hiring of young workers, like housing authority regulations.
  • Subsidies for young workers to afford community colleges and technical training schools.
  • Summer employment programs must offer real jobs to prepare young workers for entering the labor market and must connect to potential jobs later on.

Stephen Wing, CVS Caremark

  • Go into elementary and secondary schools to begin educating students about different jobs, so they can orient for the proper pathway to that job early.
  • Partnerships between foundations, government, the community, and businesses is crucial.
  • Young people will stick with the training programs if they feel they are learning real skills that will increase their opportunities.

and then some not-so-great ideas:

James Sherk, Heritage Foundation

  • End the minimum wage.
  • Strip out all labor market protections because they limit job growth.

Job Losses in the Great Recession

2 Jun

Here is an interesting chart being circulated by Jobs with Justice showing the staggering percent of jobs losses in the great recession compared to all post-WWII recessions:

This was no ordinary recession, and it requires more than an ordinary response.

JEC: Young Workers Face Record Unemployment

26 May

The Joint Economic Committee released a report today on unemployment among young workers today, coinciding with their hearing this morning.  Here is the press release:

REPORT: Young Workers Face Record Unemployment

May 26 2010


Washington, D.C.
– The unemployment rate for young workers ages 16-24 has continued to climb, hitting a record high in April 2010, even as the economy has strengthened and added more than 570,000 jobs in the first four months of 2010, according to a new report by the U.S. Congress Joint Economic Committee (JEC).

The report, entitled “Understanding the Economy: Unemployment Among Young Workers,” shows that one in five young workers was unemployed last month, a significant increase from prior to the recession when one in eight young workers was jobless.  The 19.6 percent unemployment rate for young workers ages 16-24 in April 2010 is the highest unemployment rate for this age group since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began tracking unemployment data in 1947.

Additionally, the report shows:

  • Young workers make up a disproportionate share of the unemployed.  While 16-24 year olds comprise 13 percent of the labor force, they account for 26 percent of the unemployed.   
  • The youngest workers, those ages 16-17, experience the highest rates of unemployment.  The unemployment rate for 16-17 year olds was 29 percent in April 2010.
  • Education reduces the likelihood of being unemployed.  College graduates experience the lowest unemployment rate, 8.0 percent in April 2010, and those without a high school diploma the highest at 33 percent. 
  • The benefits of a college degree are not uniform among 16-24 year olds.  The unemployment rate for black college graduates was 15.8 percent in April 2010, nearly double the 8.0 percent unemployment rate for all college graduates.
  • While young workers face higher unemployment rates than prime-aged workers, young workers typically have shorter unemployment spells.  The median duration of unemployment for 16-19 year old workers is half that of all workers.
  • While unemployment spells have been shorter, younger workers are also scarred by this recession.  At a hearing before the JEC last month, witnesses testified that recent college graduates are likely to see reduced earnings even 10 or 15 years from now.

“This new JEC report makes clear that young workers have been hit hard and are still being hit hard by the Great Recession,” said Congresswoman Carolyn B. Maloney, Chair of the JEC.  “In light of the scarring effect this recession will have on our young workers, we have to be especially diligent to do everything we can to create jobs, to bring down the record unemployment among young people, and to help these young workers build new skills.  Now is the time to reinvest in job training for young workers. I look forward to the JEC hearing later today where we will hear from experts on youth employment and examine innovative, successful job training models.”

Today’s JEC hearing, entitled “Avoiding a Lost Generation: How to Minimize the Impact of the Great Recession on Young Workers,” will focus on the challenges faced by young workers during the Great Recession and explore actions that could be taken to help young workers participate in the recovery now underway.

###

The Joint Economic Committee, established under the Employment Act of 1946, was created by Congress to review economic conditions and to analyze the effectiveness of economic policy.

www.jec.senate.gov

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 43 other followers